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China Economy Forecast October 2009



The China economy forecast released by the International Monetary Fund (IMF) in October 2009 predicts that the country's economy will continue on the path of very high expansion rates that will experience only a minor deceleration from the growth rates of the past five years.

In particular, the IMF predicts that after growing by 13% in 2007 and 9% in 2008 the Chinese economy will continue expanding rapidly in 2009 at an average rate of 8.5%.

The expansion of the Chinese economy is predicted to accelerate in the following three years (2010-2012) with real GDP registering annual growth rates of 9%, 9.7% and 9.8%.


China Economic Forecast October 2009

Sources: IMF,www.Property-Investing.org


IMF's China economy forecast predicts also that inflation in 2009 will turn slightly negative (-0.1%) but return to positive territory in 2010 at a rate of 0.6%. As the graph below indicates, in 2011 and 2012 inflation is predicted to rise to 1.5% and 1.9%, respectively.


China Inflation Forecast October 2009

Sources: IMF,www.Property-Investing.org




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Real Estate Investment Mathematics!
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Internal Rate of Return(IRR)
The 3 Formulas for Modified IRR (MIRR)/Financial Management Rate of Return (FMRR)
Potential Gross Income Multiplier (PGIM)
Potential Gross Income
Effective Gross Income Multiplier
Effective Gross Income
Net Income Multiplier
Net Operating Income
Overall Capitalization Rate/Income Return
Capitalization Factor
Band-of-Investment Formula for Estimating a Market/Required Capitalization Rate
Theoretical-Approach Formula for Estimating a Market/Required Capitalization Rate
Appreciation Return
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Return on Total Capital (ROR)
Return on Equity (ROE)/Cash-on-Cash Return/Equity Dividend Rate
Before Tax Equity Cash Flow (BTECF)
Equity Investment
Loan Amount
Debt Service
Mortgage Constant
Payback Period
Breakeven Occupancy
After Tax Cash Flow (ATCF)
Taxable Income
One-Period IRR
Income Tax Payment in Association with Income Producing Property
Capital Gains
Formula for Cash Flow for Last Period of Analysis
Future Resale Price
Annual Rental Income of Occupied Multi-Tenant Property
Multi-Period Lease Rate Growth Formula with Intertemporally Variable CPI Forecast
Multi-period Lease Rate Growth Formula with Constant CPI Forecast
Present Value (PV)
Net Present Value (NPV)
Profitability Index

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