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French Economy Forecast October 2009



According to the October 2009 French economy forecast published by the International Monetary Fund (IMF), the country's economy will experience a contraction in excess of 2% in 2009.

In particular, the IMF predicts that the French real Gross Domestic Product (GDP) will decrease in 2009 at an average rate of -2.4%, following an increase of 0.3% in 2008 and 2.3% in 2007.

The French real GDP is predicted to grow slowly in 2010 at an average rate of 0.8%, but economic growth is predicted to accelerate to 1.8% in 2011 and increase to 2.2% by 2013.

The graph below presents historical and forecast real GDP growth rates for the French economy for the period 2004-2013.

French Economy Forecast October 2009

Sources: IMF,www.Property-Investing.org


IMF's October 2009 French economy forecast anticipates that inflation will decrease from 3.2% in 2008 to 0.3% in 2009 and then gradually rise above 1%, starting at 1.1% in 2010 and reaching 1.8% by 2012. The graph below presents historical and forecast inflation rates for the French economy.

French Inflation Forecast October 2009

Sources: IMF,www.Property-Investing.org




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Real Estate Investment Mathematics
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Internal Rate of Return(IRR)
The 3 Formulas for Modified IRR (MIRR)/Financial Management Rate of Return (FMRR)
Potential Gross Income Multiplier (PGIM)
Potential Gross Income
Effective Gross Income Multiplier
Effective Gross Income
Net Income Multiplier
Net Operating Income
Overall Capitalization Rate/Income Return
Capitalization Factor
Band-of-Investment Formula for Estimating a Market/Required Capitalization Rate
Theoretical-Approach Formula for Estimating a Market/Required Capitalization Rate
Appreciation Return
Total Return
Return on Total Capital (ROR)
Return on Equity (ROE)/Cash-on-Cash Return/Equity Dividend Rate
Before Tax Equity Cash Flow (BTECF)
Equity Investment
Loan Amount
Debt Service
Mortgage Constant
Payback Period
Breakeven Occupancy
After Tax Cash Flow (ATCF)
Taxable Income
One-Period IRR
Income Tax Payment in Association with Income Producing Property
Capital Gains
Formula for Cash Flow for Last Period of Analysis
Future Resale Price
Annual Rental Income of Occupied Multi-Tenant Property
Multi-Period Lease Rate Growth Formula with Intertemporally Variable CPI Forecast
Multi-period Lease Rate Growth Formula with Constant CPI Forecast
Present Value (PV)
Net Present Value (NPV)
Profitability Index

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