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Global Economic Forecast

According to the September 2009 OECD global economic forecast, all countries covered by the forecast are predicted to register negative real GDP growth in 2009. In 2010, however, most economies are expected to turnaround and register slow growth

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Poland and Australia are predicted to register the smallest drop of 0.4% in real GDP in 2009, while Estonia, Ireland and Mexico are predicted to register the largest real GDP declines of -13.9%, -9.8% and -8.0%, respectively.

Among the large European economies, the German and Italian economies are predicted to register the largest declines of 6.1% and 5.5% in 2009. The UK economy is predicted to shrink 4.3% during the same period.

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The Japan economy is predicted to decline 6.8% while the US economy is predicted to shrink 2.8% in 2009.

In 2010, Hungary, Ireland and Spain are predicted to perform the worst among the countries covered by the OECD forecast, with their economies continuing to decline at rates of 2.2%, 1.5% and 0.9%, respectively.

Korea, Slovak Republic and Mexico are predicted to be the best performing economies in 2010, among the countries covered by the OECD forecast, registering growth rates of 3.5%, 3.1% and 2.8%, respectively.

According to the OECD global economic forecast, all the large economies in Europe are predicted to register minor growth not exceeding 0.4%. The UK economy in fact is expected to remain stagnant registering 0% real GDP growth.

The US economy is predicted to expand at an average annual rate of 0.9% in 2010.


OECD Economic Forecast for Major Economies, September 2009

Source: OECD


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Real Estate Investment Mathematics!
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Internal Rate of Return(IRR)
The 3 Formulas for Modified IRR (MIRR)/Financial Management Rate of Return (FMRR)
Potential Gross Income Multiplier (PGIM)
Potential Gross Income
Effective Gross Income Multiplier
Effective Gross Income
Net Income Multiplier
Net Operating Income
Overall Capitalization Rate/Income Return
Capitalization Factor
Band-of-Investment Formula for Estimating a Market/Required Capitalization Rate
Theoretical-Approach Formula for Estimating a Market/Required Capitalization Rate
Appreciation Return
Total Return
Return on Total Capital (ROR)
Return on Equity (ROE)/Cash-on-Cash Return/Equity Dividend Rate
Before Tax Equity Cash Flow (BTECF)
Equity Investment
Loan Amount
Debt Service
Mortgage Constant
Payback Period
Breakeven Occupancy
After Tax Cash Flow (ATCF)
Taxable Income
One-Period IRR
Income Tax Payment in Association with Income Producing Property
Capital Gains
Formula for Cash Flow for Last Period of Analysis
Future Resale Price
Annual Rental Income of Occupied Multi-Tenant Property
Multi-Period Lease Rate Growth Formula with Intertemporally Variable CPI Forecast
Multi-period Lease Rate Growth Formula with Constant CPI Forecast
Present Value (PV)
Net Present Value (NPV)
Profitability Index

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