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PAYBACK PERIOD

The Payback Period measure (for abbreviation purposes we will refer to it as PP hereafter) provides the number of years required to recoup the initial cash investment in a project or property.

This real estate invetment metric is discussed along with several other investment performance measures with examples in the e-book Real Estate Investment Mathematics. The simplistic formula below can provide an estimate of this measure, if the anticipated cash flow from the property is expected to be constant through time.

PP = Equity Investment Cost / Annual After Tax Cash Flow (15)

This measure has several limitations. First, the annual-cash flows of a property are seldom constant, especially if it is a large one with multiple tenants. Second, this measure ignores cash flows to the investor after the payback period. Third, it ignores any potential appreciation gains.

In order to apply (15) one needs tocalculate the After Tax Cash Flow (ATCF). The formula for calculating ATCF is the following, assuming that borrowing is used:

ATCF = NOI– (Taxable Income * Tax Rate) – Debt Service (16)

Taxable Income in (16) is calculated as follows:

Taxable Income = NOI – Depreciation – Interest Payment (17)

Depreciation methods and rates differ by country and are applied tothe purchase price in order to calculate the depreciation amount that will bededucted from NOI in order to calculate taxable income.

Example (continuing from previous)

Equity Investment Cost = $250,000

NOI = $100,000

Depreciation Rate = 2%

Interest Payment = Loan Amount * Interest Rate = 0.06 * 800,000

Debt Service = 69,748

Tax Rate = 25%

With this information we can now calculate the taxable income, the ATCF and period needed for payback:

Taxable Income = 100,000 – 0.02*1,000,000 – 48,000

=100,000 – 20,000 – 48,000 = 32,000

Tax payment = 32,000 * 0.25 = 8,000

ATCF = 100,000 – 8,000 - 69,748 = 22,252

PP = 250,000/22,252 = 11.23

Thus, in this example, the "payback period" is 11.23 years.

This is an excerpt from the e-book Real Estate Investment Mathematics.



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Effective Gross Income Multiplier
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Theoretical-Approach Formula for Estimating a Market/Required Capitalization Rate
Appreciation Return
Total Return
Return on Total Capital (ROR)
Return on Equity (ROE)/Cash-on-Cash Return/Equity Dividend Rate
Before Tax Equity Cash Flow (BTECF)
Equity Investment
Loan Amount
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Payback Period
Breakeven Occupancy
After Tax Cash Flow (ATCF)
Taxable Income
One-Period IRR
Income Tax Payment in Association with Income Producing Property
Capital Gains
Formula for Cash Flow for Last Period of Analysis
Future Resale Price
Annual Rental Income of Occupied Multi-Tenant Property
Multi-Period Lease Rate Growth Formula with Intertemporally Variable CPI Forecast
Multi-period Lease Rate Growth Formula with Constant CPI Forecast
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Net Present Value (NPV)
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Return from Payback Period to Investment Analysis