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"Annual" Declines in Single Family Home Prices Accelerated in August 2009

Declines in single family home prices compared to the levels that prevailed twelve months ago accelerated in August 2009, according to recently released data by the National Association of Realtors (NAR).

According to this NAR data, average single-family home prices at the national level were 8.8% below their August 2008 level, while in the previous month they were only 5.5% below their July 2008 level.

Below we will use the term "annual" declines to characterize drops in prices compared to the levels prevailed in the same month in the previous year. We put the word annual in quotes because this change does not represent a true annual change, which is the average of the monthly changes that occur over a 12-month period.

"Annual" price declines accelerated in all regions but the West. In particular, average single-family home prices in the West in August 2009 were 9% below their August 2008 level, but in July 2009 they were 13.6% below their July 2008, level.

Contrary to what happened in the West, "annual" price declines accelerated in the South, Midwest and the Northeast. The greatest acceleration took place in the South and Midwest where "annual" declines in average single-family home prices accelerated from -0.3% and -1.5%, in July 2009 to -9.4% and -9.0%, in August 2009.

In the Northeast, average single family home prices in August 2009 were 7.9% below their August 2008 level, which represents a worsening compared to July 2009, when prices were 5.9% below their July 2008, level.

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Real Estate Investment Mathematics!
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Internal Rate of Return(IRR)
The 3 Formulas for Modified IRR (MIRR)/Financial Management Rate of Return (FMRR)
Potential Gross Income Multiplier (PGIM)
Potential Gross Income
Effective Gross Income Multiplier
Effective Gross Income
Net Income Multiplier
Net Operating Income
Overall Capitalization Rate/Income Return
Capitalization Factor
Band-of-Investment Formula for Estimating a Market/Required Capitalization Rate
Theoretical-Approach Formula for Estimating a Market/Required Capitalization Rate
Appreciation Return
Total Return
Return on Total Capital (ROR)
Return on Equity (ROE)/Cash-on-Cash Return/Equity Dividend Rate
Before Tax Equity Cash Flow (BTECF)
Equity Investment
Loan Amount
Debt Service
Mortgage Constant
Payback Period
Breakeven Occupancy
After Tax Cash Flow (ATCF)
Taxable Income
One-Period IRR
Income Tax Payment in Association with Income Producing Property
Capital Gains
Formula for Cash Flow for Last Period of Analysis
Future Resale Price
Annual Rental Income of Occupied Multi-Tenant Property
Multi-Period Lease Rate Growth Formula with Intertemporally Variable CPI Forecast
Multi-period Lease Rate Growth Formula with Constant CPI Forecast
Present Value (PV)
Net Present Value (NPV)
Profitability Index
And more….



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Return from Single Family Home Prices August 2009 to Market Watch