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Are US Commercial Property Prices Still Declining?

US commercial property prices continued declining in August 2009, according to the latest Moody’s/REAL Commercial Property Price Index.

In particular, the National All Property Types Aggregate Index that presents aggregate performance for all property types (apartments, industrial, office and retail) posted a monthly drop of 3% in August. These represents deceleration of the rate of decline compared to July when commercial property prices dropped 5.1%.

On an annual basis, US commercial property prices were 32.8% down, while on a 24-month basis they were down 40.3%.

According to Real Capital Analytics data there were 377 transactions in August totaling nearly $4.8 billion. In July transaction volume totaled $3.6 billion from slightly more than 300 sales.

The latest report released by Moody's presents also quarterly price index data as of Q2 2009 by property type. According to this data, all commercial property types but office posted significant quarterly price declines.

Industrial property prices posted the largest quarterly decline of -20.4% in Q2 2009, while retail property prices posted the smallest decline of -7.9%. Apartment property prices posted a double-digit quarterly decline of -16.3%.

Office property outperformed all commercial property types tracked by the index as it posted a quarterly price increase of 4.1%.

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Real Estate Investment Mathematics!
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Internal Rate of Return(IRR)
The 3 Formulas for Modified IRR (MIRR)/Financial Management Rate of Return (FMRR)
Potential Gross Income Multiplier (PGIM)
Potential Gross Income
Effective Gross Income Multiplier
Effective Gross Income
Net Income Multiplier
Net Operating Income
Overall Capitalization Rate/Income Return
Capitalization Factor
Band-of-Investment Formula for Estimating a Market/Required Capitalization Rate
Theoretical-Approach Formula for Estimating a Market/Required Capitalization Rate
Appreciation Return
Total Return
Return on Total Capital (ROR)
Return on Equity (ROE)/Cash-on-Cash Return/Equity Dividend Rate
Before Tax Equity Cash Flow (BTECF)
Equity Investment
Loan Amount
Debt Service
Mortgage Constant
Payback Period
Breakeven Occupancy
After Tax Cash Flow (ATCF)
Taxable Income
One-Period IRR
Income Tax Payment in Association with Income Producing Property
Capital Gains
Formula for Cash Flow for Last Period of Analysis
Future Resale Price
Annual Rental Income of Occupied Multi-Tenant Property
Multi-Period Lease Rate Growth Formula with Intertemporally Variable CPI Forecast
Multi-period Lease Rate Growth Formula with Constant CPI Forecast
Present Value (PV)
Net Present Value (NPV)
Profitability Index
And more….

Related Posts
UK Commercial Property Prices Increased in September 2009
UK Commercial Property Market Trends, Q2 2009
Outlook for US Mortgage Rates, August 2009
Trends in UK Commercial Property Rents, Q2 2009
UK Commercial Property Forecast
Trends in UK Commercial Property Returns, June 2009
Trends in US Commercial Real Estate Returns
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Return from US Commercial Property Prices August 2009 to Market Watch