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US Economy Expanded Faster than Expected in Q3 2009

The US economy expanded at an annual rate of 3.5% in the third quarter of 2009 according to BEA preliminary estimates, thus exceeding the median estimate of economists surveyed by Bloomberg News. Note that the US real GDP contracted in the previous quarter at an annual rate of 0.7%.

The increase in US real GDP in the third quarter of 2009 reflects mostly increases in personal consumption expenditures, residential fixed investment, federal government spending, exports, and private inventory investment.

Real personal consumption expenditures increased 3.4% in the third quarter, following a decrease of 0.9% in the second. Durable goods, driven by motor vehicle purchases under the Consumer Assistance to Recycle and Save Act of 2009, increased 22.3% following a decrease of 5.6% in the previous quarter. Nondurable goods increased 2.0% while services increased 1.2%.

Real residential fixed investment posted a very strong increase of 23.4% in Q3 2009, following a decrease of 23.3% in the previous quarter. Real nonresidential fixed investment though continued declining at an annual rate of 2.5%, which is considerably lower than the decrease of 9.6% registered in the second quarter.

The big question mark of course is the sustainability of the growth that was registered by the US economy in the third quarter with most concerns arising from the deteriorating labor market.

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Real Estate Investment Mathematics!
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Internal Rate of Return(IRR)
The 3 Formulas for Modified IRR (MIRR)/Financial Management Rate of Return (FMRR)
Potential Gross Income Multiplier (PGIM)
Potential Gross Income
Effective Gross Income Multiplier
Effective Gross Income
Net Income Multiplier
Net Operating Income
Overall Capitalization Rate/Income Return
Capitalization Factor
Band-of-Investment Formula for Estimating a Market/Required Capitalization Rate
Theoretical-Approach Formula for Estimating a Market/Required Capitalization Rate
Appreciation Return
Total Return
Return on Total Capital (ROR)
Return on Equity (ROE)/Cash-on-Cash Return/Equity Dividend Rate
Before Tax Equity Cash Flow (BTECF)
Equity Investment
Loan Amount
Debt Service
Mortgage Constant
Payback Period
Breakeven Occupancy
After Tax Cash Flow (ATCF)
Taxable Income
One-Period IRR
Income Tax Payment in Association with Income Producing Property
Capital Gains
Formula for Cash Flow for Last Period of Analysis
Future Resale Price
Annual Rental Income of Occupied Multi-Tenant Property
Multi-Period Lease Rate Growth Formula with Intertemporally Variable CPI Forecast
Multi-period Lease Rate Growth Formula with Constant CPI Forecast
Present Value (PV)
Net Present Value (NPV)
Profitability Index
And more….

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